Nevada's state problem-gaming council has split from the National Council on Problem Gambling, citing the national group's ties to Kalshi as the catalyst. Delap, quoted by CDC Gaming, said Kalshi's support triggered a review of institutional independence. The Nevada council's break follows its public stance against prediction markets. The national group had declined to classify event contracts as gambling, maintaining neutrality.

The Nevada council's break erodes a local ally Kalshi cannot afford to lose. The platform is banned from taking bets in Nevada, yet it needs responsible-gaming credibility there to soften opposition and protect its national reputation. Each institutional defection raises the cost of expansion before any court rules. For Kalshi and Polymarket, the pattern is clear: state judges, attorneys general, and now nonprofits treat CFTC registration as negotiable. Legal spend stacks across parallel cases in New York, Utah, Wisconsin, Washington, and Connecticut. Traders face contract validity that hinges on geography, not federal label. The thinning coalition makes federal preemption a courtroom argument alone.