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Kalshi traders price Zverev at 57% to beat Shelton in US Open final
Kalshi prices Chiefs at 56 cents to beat Broncos in Week 1 showdown
Kalshi's most traded NFL Week 1 market is Cowboys at Giants
Kalshi traders mark down JJ McCarthy trade probability 5% in under a week
NFL season and midterm elections mark key fall season for prediction markets
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Kalshi traders price Tennessee at 82% to beat Georgia Tech
Kalshi traders are pricing Tennessee at 82% to win its Week 2 college football matchup against Georgia Tech, with the Yellow Jackets at 19%. Georgia Tech is coming off a stunning home upset loss to Colorado.
Polymarket traders price 64% odds Bitcoin hits $80K in September
Polymarket traders are pricing a 64% chance that Bitcoin reaches $80,000 this month, while a dip to $75,000 is priced at 68.5%. The odds shifted after Bitcoin came within $163 of $80,000 on September 11 but failed to hit the mark. The market reflects near-term volatility expectations around the cryptocurrency's price action.
Celebrities including LeBron James and Sydney Sweeney endorse prediction markets ahead of NFL season
As the NFL season kicks off, celebrities including LeBron James, Sydney Sweeney, and Marshawn Lynch have begun endorsing prediction markets. The article frames this as part of a broader prediction market roundup tied to the NFL season launch.
Prediction markets' high court clash looks more imminent
The widespread clash over whether regulation of prediction markets falls under federal or state jurisdiction is moving closer to the U.S. high court. The jurisdictional fight has been building as state regulators and federal authorities stake competing claims over which level of government should oversee event-contract platforms. A Supreme Court ruling would settle the split and define the regulatory boundary for the industry.
Election officials ban certain public workers from prediction markets
Election officials have barred certain public workers from participating in prediction markets. The ban targets employees whose roles could create conflicts of interest or informational advantages when trading on event outcomes. The restriction reflects growing concern about insider-trading risks as prediction markets expand into politically sensitive domains.
Kalshi traders price Widow's Bay at 82% to win Best Comedy at 2026 Emmys
Kalshi traders are pricing Widow's Bay at 82% to win Best Comedy at the 78th Emmy Awards, and 84% to win the most awards overall. The comedy series is the clear favorite in both markets on the regulated prediction market platform.
Kalshi prices Notre Dame at 12% to win national championship
Kalshi prediction-market traders are pricing Notre Dame at a 12% probability to win the college football national championship this season, according to a Facebook post citing the platform. The Irish hold the second-highest odds among teams tracked on the exchange.
KashRock launches esports consensus odds API aggregating Kalshi, Polymarket, and Thunderpick
KashRock has launched an esports consensus odds API that aggregates pricing from three prediction and betting platforms: Thunderpick, Kalshi, and Polymarket. The service covers Counter-Strike 2, League of Legends, Valorant, and Dota, converting each source's odds into a single de-vigged fair probability. Access to the API is gated.
Cluster of Polymarket accounts won big on companies audited by KPMG
The Wall Street Journal reported that a cluster of Polymarket accounts won big on companies audited by KPMG. The findings follow an earlier Journal report that a KPMG employee is under investigation for alleged insider trading.
US government launched three previously unreported investigations of Polymarket trades
The agency that oversees prediction markets investigated Polymarket trades on Biden pardons and the Iran war, according to documents obtained through a Freedom of Information Act request. The three previously unreported investigations add to scrutiny of the CFTC-regulated platform, which has faced questions about potential insider trading and market manipulation. The probes focused on trading activity around sensitive political and geopolitical events.
Kalshi and Polymarket open FDA decision markets
Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket this year began offering contracts tied to U.S. Food and Drug Administration decisions, letting users trade on pharmaceutical regulatory outcomes. The expansion into FDA decisions marks a new contract category for both platforms beyond their existing political and economic markets.
Election officials in Arizona and Pennsylvania ban employees from prediction market betting before midterms
Election officials in Maricopa County, Arizona, and Delaware County, Pennsylvania, have barred employees from betting on prediction markets ahead of the midterm elections. The officials say the bans are designed to guard against insider trading and protect public trust in the electoral process.
Ex-reality star sues Kalshi over enforcement on election markets
A former contestant on reality dating show 'FBoy Island' sued Kalshi Inc. for penalizing him for trading on its prediction markets about his own election-related outcomes. The lawsuit challenges the platform's enforcement actions against the trader.
Cantor pushes into prediction markets for institutional clients
Cantor & Co. is seeking to help institutional clients move into the prediction-markets space, Brandon Lutnick said. The push follows Cantor's recent partnership with Kalshi, the regulated prediction-market exchange. The move targets growing institutional interest in event contracts as the sector expands beyond retail traders.
Kalshi and Polymarket are manufacturing viral cultural moments
Kalshi and Polymarket are deliberately manufacturing cultural moments designed to go viral and persist online regardless of future regulatory constraints they may face, according to a Rolling Stone culture feature published Friday.
Kalshi plans 60 stock, ETF perps after SEC registration
Kalshi plans to launch 60 perpetual futures contracts tied to individual stocks and ETFs after completing SEC registration. The proposed products would extend Kalshi's fast-growing perps business into individual stocks, where contracts fall under joint SEC-CFTC oversight.
Polymarket Rays-Braves overtime odds jump to 50%
Polymarket's Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves market saw the 'Yes' option in the overtime submarket surge from 9% an hour earlier to 50%. The sharp repricing reflects live in-game dynamics on the sports event contract.
EU regulator says Polymarket and Kalshi lack authorization for EU event contracts
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) said on September 11 that prediction platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi lack required authorization to offer event contracts to users in the European Union. The bloc's top markets regulator questioned whether partial geo-blocking is sufficient for compliance and noted that event contracts can qualify as financial instruments under MiFID II, triggering stricter oversight requirements.
Polymarket Texas Rangers contract drops from 78% to 19.5% in one hour
A Polymarket contract on the Texas Rangers in a head-to-head matchup against the Seattle Mariners collapsed from 78% to 19.5% within a single hour on Thursday. The sharp repricing suggests a sudden influx of sell orders or new information hitting the market, though the article does not specify the trigger.
Real App partners FanDuel for sports betting and prediction markets
Real App has partnered with FanDuel to bring sports betting and prediction markets to its platform. The deal was announced Thursday, September 11. The article body provides no further details on terms, scope, or timeline.
