AimPredict

Aim Predict

News

All News

Sports

Kalshi traders price Tennessee at 82% to beat Georgia Tech

Kalshi traders are pricing Tennessee at 82% to win its Week 2 college football matchup against Georgia Tech, with the Yellow Jackets at 19%. Georgia Tech is coming off a stunning home upset loss to Colorado.

about 22 hours ago
Crypto

Polymarket traders price 64% odds Bitcoin hits $80K in September

Polymarket traders are pricing a 64% chance that Bitcoin reaches $80,000 this month, while a dip to $75,000 is priced at 68.5%. The odds shifted after Bitcoin came within $163 of $80,000 on September 11 but failed to hit the mark. The market reflects near-term volatility expectations around the cryptocurrency's price action.

about 23 hours ago
Sports

Celebrities including LeBron James and Sydney Sweeney endorse prediction markets ahead of NFL season

As the NFL season kicks off, celebrities including LeBron James, Sydney Sweeney, and Marshawn Lynch have begun endorsing prediction markets. The article frames this as part of a broader prediction market roundup tied to the NFL season launch.

1 day ago
Finance

Prediction markets' high court clash looks more imminent

The widespread clash over whether regulation of prediction markets falls under federal or state jurisdiction is moving closer to the U.S. high court. The jurisdictional fight has been building as state regulators and federal authorities stake competing claims over which level of government should oversee event-contract platforms. A Supreme Court ruling would settle the split and define the regulatory boundary for the industry.

2 days ago
Politics

Election officials ban certain public workers from prediction markets

Election officials have barred certain public workers from participating in prediction markets. The ban targets employees whose roles could create conflicts of interest or informational advantages when trading on event outcomes. The restriction reflects growing concern about insider-trading risks as prediction markets expand into politically sensitive domains.

2 days ago
Culture

Kalshi traders price Widow's Bay at 82% to win Best Comedy at 2026 Emmys

Kalshi traders are pricing Widow's Bay at 82% to win Best Comedy at the 78th Emmy Awards, and 84% to win the most awards overall. The comedy series is the clear favorite in both markets on the regulated prediction market platform.

2 days ago
Sports

Kalshi prices Notre Dame at 12% to win national championship

Kalshi prediction-market traders are pricing Notre Dame at a 12% probability to win the college football national championship this season, according to a Facebook post citing the platform. The Irish hold the second-highest odds among teams tracked on the exchange.

2 days ago
Sports

KashRock launches esports consensus odds API aggregating Kalshi, Polymarket, and Thunderpick

KashRock has launched an esports consensus odds API that aggregates pricing from three prediction and betting platforms: Thunderpick, Kalshi, and Polymarket. The service covers Counter-Strike 2, League of Legends, Valorant, and Dota, converting each source's odds into a single de-vigged fair probability. Access to the API is gated.

2 days ago
Crypto

Cluster of Polymarket accounts won big on companies audited by KPMG

The Wall Street Journal reported that a cluster of Polymarket accounts won big on companies audited by KPMG. The findings follow an earlier Journal report that a KPMG employee is under investigation for alleged insider trading.

2 days ago
Crypto

US government launched three previously unreported investigations of Polymarket trades

The agency that oversees prediction markets investigated Polymarket trades on Biden pardons and the Iran war, according to documents obtained through a Freedom of Information Act request. The three previously unreported investigations add to scrutiny of the CFTC-regulated platform, which has faced questions about potential insider trading and market manipulation. The probes focused on trading activity around sensitive political and geopolitical events.

2 days ago
Finance

Kalshi and Polymarket open FDA decision markets

Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket this year began offering contracts tied to U.S. Food and Drug Administration decisions, letting users trade on pharmaceutical regulatory outcomes. The expansion into FDA decisions marks a new contract category for both platforms beyond their existing political and economic markets.

2 days ago
Politics

Election officials in Arizona and Pennsylvania ban employees from prediction market betting before midterms

Election officials in Maricopa County, Arizona, and Delaware County, Pennsylvania, have barred employees from betting on prediction markets ahead of the midterm elections. The officials say the bans are designed to guard against insider trading and protect public trust in the electoral process.

2 days ago
Politics

Ex-reality star sues Kalshi over enforcement on election markets

A former contestant on reality dating show 'FBoy Island' sued Kalshi Inc. for penalizing him for trading on its prediction markets about his own election-related outcomes. The lawsuit challenges the platform's enforcement actions against the trader.

2 days ago
Finance

Cantor pushes into prediction markets for institutional clients

Cantor & Co. is seeking to help institutional clients move into the prediction-markets space, Brandon Lutnick said. The push follows Cantor's recent partnership with Kalshi, the regulated prediction-market exchange. The move targets growing institutional interest in event contracts as the sector expands beyond retail traders.

2 days ago
Culture

Kalshi and Polymarket are manufacturing viral cultural moments

Kalshi and Polymarket are deliberately manufacturing cultural moments designed to go viral and persist online regardless of future regulatory constraints they may face, according to a Rolling Stone culture feature published Friday.

2 days ago
Finance

Kalshi plans 60 stock, ETF perps after SEC registration

Kalshi plans to launch 60 perpetual futures contracts tied to individual stocks and ETFs after completing SEC registration. The proposed products would extend Kalshi's fast-growing perps business into individual stocks, where contracts fall under joint SEC-CFTC oversight.

2 days ago
Crypto

Polymarket Rays-Braves overtime odds jump to 50%

Polymarket's Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves market saw the 'Yes' option in the overtime submarket surge from 9% an hour earlier to 50%. The sharp repricing reflects live in-game dynamics on the sports event contract.

2 days ago
Finance

EU regulator says Polymarket and Kalshi lack authorization for EU event contracts

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) said on September 11 that prediction platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi lack required authorization to offer event contracts to users in the European Union. The bloc's top markets regulator questioned whether partial geo-blocking is sufficient for compliance and noted that event contracts can qualify as financial instruments under MiFID II, triggering stricter oversight requirements.

2 days ago
Crypto

Polymarket Texas Rangers contract drops from 78% to 19.5% in one hour

A Polymarket contract on the Texas Rangers in a head-to-head matchup against the Seattle Mariners collapsed from 78% to 19.5% within a single hour on Thursday. The sharp repricing suggests a sudden influx of sell orders or new information hitting the market, though the article does not specify the trigger.

3 days ago
Sports

Real App partners FanDuel for sports betting and prediction markets

Real App has partnered with FanDuel to bring sports betting and prediction markets to its platform. The deal was announced Thursday, September 11. The article body provides no further details on terms, scope, or timeline.

3 days ago