The agency that oversees prediction markets investigated Polymarket trades on Biden pardons and the Iran war, according to documents obtained through a Freedom of Information Act request. The three previously unreported investigations add to scrutiny of the CFTC-regulated platform, which has faced questions about potential insider trading and market manipulation. The probes focused on trading activity around sensitive political and geopolitical events.

Shows the CFTC is actively monitoring Polymarket for manipulation and insider trading, raising compliance stakes for all regulated prediction market platforms offering politically sensitive contracts.