Polymarket traders price 7% odds Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizes soon

Traders on Polymarket, the Polygon-based prediction market, are pricing only a 7% probability that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal. The market comes as Iran's shipping strikes top a dozen amid a bid to restore leverage in the region.

Offers a real-time, tradable sentiment gauge on geopolitical supply-chain risk that complements traditional oil futures and shipping indices.