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Kalshi traders price Widow's Bay at 82% to win Best Comedy at 2026 Emmys
Kalshi traders are pricing Widow's Bay at 82% to win Best Comedy at the 78th Emmy Awards, and 84% to win the most awards overall. The comedy series is the clear favorite in both markets on the regulated prediction market platform.
Kalshi and Polymarket are manufacturing viral cultural moments
Kalshi and Polymarket are deliberately manufacturing cultural moments designed to go viral and persist online regardless of future regulatory constraints they may face, according to a Rolling Stone culture feature published Friday.
Riot Games discussed Polymarket, Kalshi sponsorships for esports
Tencent Holdings Ltd.'s Riot Games, maker of League of Legends and Valorant, has discussed esports sponsorship deals with Polymarket and Kalshi. The talks signal interest from a major gaming publisher in bringing prediction market branding into professional esports, though no deals have been announced. Riot operates some of the most-watched esports leagues globally, giving any eventual partnership significant reach.
Polymarket's LeBron James ad sparks Reddit backlash despite app store gains
Polymarket's new advertising campaign starring LeBron James and featuring Sue Bird has drawn sharp criticism on Reddit and in opinion coverage. A thread in the r/wnba subreddit received 228 votes and 99 comments criticizing the athletes as sellouts. Houseofstrauss.com compared the backlash to Polymarket's broader public hostility versus DraftKings, citing a critical comment from NBA gambler Haralabos Voulgaris. The campaign nonetheless drove Polymarket past rival prediction-market apps on the App Store download rankings.
Kalshi traders price Jack Lowden's Bond casting odds at 61% after Gary Oldman interview
Kalshi prediction-market traders have priced Jack Lowden's odds of being cast as the next James Bond at 61%, up following comments by Gary Oldman. Oldman claimed the next Bond has already been selected and said his 'fingers are crossed' for Lowden, his costar on the series Slow Horses.
Kalshi traders forecast 73% Rotten Tomatoes score for 'By Any Means'
Kalshi prediction-market traders are pricing a 73% Rotten Tomatoes score for the upcoming Mark Wahlberg film 'By Any Means.' The market lets users trade on the critical reception of major movie releases, with the score reflecting the consensus forecast from active contracts.
Kalshi prices Hov at 51% to headline Super Bowl halftime show
Kalshi prediction-market traders are pricing a 51% probability that Hov will headline the Super Bowl halftime show, ahead of Justin Bieber at 30% and Miley Cyrus at 29%. The contract prices reflect live betting on the yet-to-be-announced performer.
Polymarket odds for Jack Lowden as next James Bond fall to 22%
Polymarket traders have cut the probability that actor Jack Lowden will be cast as the next James Bond to 22%, according to PPP prediction market tool monitoring. The figure reflects a decline in market confidence for the Scottish actor, who had previously been a leading contender in the speculative betting market on the long-running film franchise's next lead.
Kalshi odds show Lyric Medeiros at 55% to be evicted on Big Brother week 4
Kalshi prediction-market odds give Lyric Medeiros a 55% chance of eviction on Big Brother this week, ahead of Melody Morris at 47% and Drew Campbell at 8%. The figures come from the regulated event-contract platform as the reality show's week 4 eviction approaches.
